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Incite 60 Pricing in the downturn

January 8th, 2009 No comments

The more you can slice and dice your prices and offerings without affecting your brand, the more you can sustain profitability*.

 

Welcome again to the sharing of ideas on different ways to do business, , this issue is about pricing in a slowdown and is relevant today.

Good luck and comments welcome!

 

When times are good, pricing sins can be easily forgiven. But when the economy sours, a misguided pricing strategy can shrink profitability, warp customer relationships, and destroy a brand.

 

When sales and profits are plummeting and customers are demanding better deals, the instinctive response is to cut prices. This silences customer complaints, helps cover fixed costs, and buys time until the economy rebounds. A price cut can also boost sales quickly, especially when there is no money for advertising or other promotions.

But such a knee-jerk reaction may not be the best strategy, say the experts. Price cuts now may affect your company’s profitability when the upturn occurs. It may signal to customers that you’re an easy prey for additional discounting. And it may cloud your brand’s hard-won image.

Pricing decisions should be part of a long-term strategy for fiscal fitness. When economic storm clouds gather, trim your production levels, postpone expansion plans that aren’t absolutely vital to your future growth, and slash nonessential costs wherever you can. This prepares you to pursue low-value business opportunities that help you maintain your cash flow without drastically reducing your production capacity.

 

Crafting the right strategies will not only strengthen your business now, it will also prime it for growth later. To bolster sales while avoiding a price cut’s dampening effect on long-term profitability, keep the following advice in mind:

 

Remember the big picture
Profitability is not the only prism through which you should view pricing.

 

Other important perspectives include:

Volume. Too many firms fail to account for the effects of price on volume and of volume on costs. In a recession, trying to recover these costs through a price increase can be fatal.

 

Impact on customer relationships. “Sucker pricing” is the term that Eric Mitchell, of the Professional Pricing Society (PPS), uses for the excessive pricing that occurs when companies have locked in customers through contracts or proprietary implementations. This creates ill will and tarnishes your brand.

 

Impact on the industry. Price cuts not backed by cost reductions often lead to competitive counterattacks, which erode profitability.

 

Adjust your sales goals
“Don’t fight today’s sales wars with yesterday’s pricing strategies,” says Mitchell. Sales goals set when cheque books were open may no longer be suitable for a recession. Executives experience what is called the “coffin corner of costing” when, for the purposes of making the numbers, they overemphasize capacity utilization and become willing to cut the price of high-value products. The wireless industry in the
US, for example, generated strong demand with its low pricing but then was unable to recover its costs of capital.

Instead of sales goals, set euro contribution goals for products, market segments, and individual customers. To do this you may have to invest in financial systems that can track process costs as well as direct costs. Moreover, setting profitability goals may mean abandoning market-share goals. After all, a large market share doesn’t necessarily mean increased profitability—as the recent performances of Eircom and many others show. But switching to profitability benchmarks can help you pursue other low-price business.

 

It may also make sense to change the basis for your pricing. Most expert believe that pricing based on value—the economic or psychological benefits delivered by your product or service—is much more effective than competitor, cost, or customer-driven pricing strategies. Remember, too, that the basis for customer value can shift when the economic climate changes. When times are good, customers often place a premium on your maintaining production capacity to ensure timely delivery of their orders; otherwise, their sales suffer. But in a recession, logistical services may be more valuable.

 

Understand your competitive advantage
In a recession, pricing should be shaped by industry position and long-term strategy. If your competitive advantage derives from a low-cost structure, cost cutting can pump up your market share, positioning your firm for a payoff when the economy improves. Stagecoach in the UK, Ryanair, and Lidl all use price as a weapon to leave weaker rivals by the wayside. But a common mistake is to use price as a competitive advantage for high-value products by giving away services or discounting to your best customers. You erode the base of profitable customers and reduce the potential for profitability when the downturn ends.

 

Leverage your segmentation strategy
Especially if you have high fixed costs, use pricing to generate incremental revenue from your segmented customer base. Strive for “first-class,” “business-class,” and “economy” pricing, the way the airlines do. First-class customers receive extra value with minimal discounting; economy customers get minimum value. Such segmentation based on price sensitivity creates sales opportunities that can offset losses in other areas, especially since there is often little difference in production costs among the offerings. In addition, a premium offering such as Nokia’s new line of luxury mobile phones can motivate price-sensitive buyers to move up to midrange offerings in the pursuit of additional value.

Offerings can be segmented not only by value added but also by time (for example, peak-load purchasing), location, or purchase quantity. “The more you can slice and dice your prices and offerings without affecting your brand, the more you can sustain profitability,” says Mitchell. Dynamic pricing represents an extension of such a segmented pricing strategy; here, prices shift instantaneously in response to changes in supply and demand. Although the practice doesn’t suit every company, early testers of dynamic pricing software have been pleasantly surprised to discover how much more they can charge without affecting sales volume. The consulting firm Accenture reports that a price increase of just 1% can improve operating profits by 11% if sales volume remains constant.

 

Pamper loyal customers
Losing a customer now represents a double whammy: It drains customer equity and raises the cost of acquiring a replacement. Keep your best customers happy by bolstering loyalty programs or providing additional services. Consider offering product training or other classes for your B2B customers—not only will it augment the value you offer customers, it will also make it more difficult for those customers to switch to another provider.

But don’t make the same mistake the wireless industry did. When carriers offered attractive deals to new customers but didn’t make those same offerings available to existing customers, high churn rates resulted.

 

Plug revenue leaks
Companies can run aground on pricing gaffes once covered by the high tide of a good economy. A common oversight is not recovering all the costs involved in services, delivery, or other processes, says Mitchell. Set minimum order quantities so that processing costs won’t eat all the profits. Strengthen your collection efforts to shrink the time between orders and receipt of payment. Without undermining customer value, establish a price menu for “free” services such as delivery or favourable payment terms. When sold separately, such offerings increase revenue opportunities. They also provide a benchmark value for customers who formerly discounted them because they were free.

In a recession, revenue leaks also occur because sales forces become less resistant to customer pressures. They knock down the price until the sale is won, despite the impact on profitability. Ideally, prices should be negotiated based on business rules—volume, delivery, financing—and not according to the negotiating skills of purchasing agents. They should also be based on the value to the customer. But sales forces often oppose value pricing because it usually means higher prices and a greater willingness to walk away from price-sensitive deals. To encourage the desired behaviour, compensate your sales force based on its contribution to profitability and/or customer equity, not just on sales volume.

 

Shift the battleground
When you negotiate with customers, include other factors besides the payment amount—for example, payment terms or ongoing training—in the conversation. Some additional suggestions:

Change the volume requirement to raise revenue and lower unit costs.

Bundle products that increase customer value. For example, a global positioning system is a standard feature now in many brands of cars.

In exchange for a discount, ask for a multiyear contract to smooth out your revenue and production variability.

 

Protect your brands
Brands become more valuable during a downturn because they offer defensible margins. Sales of cosmetics often rise during a recession. The reason: They represent affordable luxuries or offer a psychological boost. So don’t cut prices on your premium brands during a recession; they can be sold without discounts through word-of-mouth or channel promotions that increase visibility and appeal.

 

* Eric Mitchell, Professional Pricing Society

 

Article by Nick Wreden, author of Fusion Branding: Strategic Branding for the Customer Economy

Other reference Reed K. Holden, The Strategy and Tactics of Pricing.

 

INCITE is issued by Celtar with the objective of spreading the news of

improving performance through learning and adopting better business practices.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pricing in an inflationary downturn

January 8th, 2009 No comments

Tieing in with the recent Incite ezine here is another view on pricing.

In the current environment, costs are rising as price sensitivity increases. Six tactics from the McKinsey company that can help businesses get pricing right.

 

Getting pricing right is always a challenge in an economic downturn, as decreasing demand, excess capacity, and greater price sensitivity all conspire to drive down prices. In most downturns, the cost of raw materials, feedstocks, and other upstream supplies—as well as the cost to serve customers (for delivering goods, for example)—tends to stabilize and even decrease as business activity slows. As a result, decreases in downstream prices are at least partially offset by lower upstream costs. But in the current environment, not only is weaker demand from the end user making it harder to maintain prices, but significantly higher and more volatile input costs, energy for example, mean that companies caught in the middle are getting hit from both sides.

What’s a business to do? In this unusual downturn, companies need to manage the profitability of individual customers and transactions with greater precision, develop richer insights into their customers’ changing needs and price sensitivities, and understand more clearly the microeconomics that shape their own industries and those of their suppliers. Three McKinsey consultants have assembled six tactics aimed at maintaining the best balance possible between sales volume and profit margins in the current challenging environment.

 

Watch for sudden shifts in price structure

Companies should be vigilant in monitoring pricing policies that reduce revenue—such as volume discounts, rebates, and cash discounts—as well as cost-to-serve, including freight and sales support. In the current downturn, rising costs and declining demand can cause these elements to change more dramatically and quickly than they have in the past. Rapidly increasing fuel prices, for example, are putting intense pressure on delivery costs. Declining demand means that some customers may be collecting volume discounts they no longer deserve. Best-practice companies are reviewing much more frequently their pocket margin waterfalls, which show how much revenue companies really keep from each of their transactions, and adjusting their pricing policies accordingly—for example, by adding delivery fuel surcharges to every order. Without the extra attention and quick action, erosion at all points of a transaction can quickly destroy profits in times like these.

 

Monitor customer-level profitability

Companies should use transaction-level data to measure precisely the profitability of each customer. By doing so, companies can detect if the cost to serve particular customers or declining order volumes are nudging those customers below target profitability levels. In this downturn, for example, many customer groups are becoming simultaneously smaller and more costly to serve. One industrial company found that more than 20 percent of its customers had fallen below breakeven profitability, forcing it to raise prices selectively and, where possible, lower cost-to-serve by decreasing delivery frequency, reducing sales support, or fulfilling orders through alternate channels.

 

Adjust to changing customer needs

Downturns always prompt changes in customer needs and in the benefits they value when choosing a supplier. The dynamics of the current downturn mean that such swings can occur even more rapidly. In this environment, the best companies are constantly assessing—through market research and direct contact—how economics are changing for their customers. Even more important, they are reacting quickly by retooling their price and benefit offerings accordingly. For example, one Dublin based distributor that imports high end products from the Far East developed a new brand and range of economy products which still meet their customer specifications but at less cost. The new range helps the distributor’s customers to decrease project costs. As a result, the distributor can maintain its profit margins even while selling the alternative range at a lower price. The combination of lower demand and higher input costs in the current downturn makes it critical to get these kinds of adjustments to the cost/benefit balance correct.

 

Update price sensitivity research

Dramatic increases in energy and food prices have made consumers much more sensitive to prices across a wide range of product categories. Each price increase for necessities such as food and fuel has cut a little more from discretionary budgets, sharply increasing price sensitivity. Market price tests become obsolete after just a few months. To get price points right, pricing sensitivity research and market price tests should be rerun immediately to track these changes.

 

Monitor your industry’s microeconomics

Radical shifts in costs and demand have thrown previously predictable market pricing mechanisms into chaos. Responding correctly requires a keen understanding of the microeconomic forces at play at the industry level. In one example, a building materials company found itself in a precarious position as the downturn deepened: a precipitous decline in Irish housing starts meant diminishing demand, while the costs for raw materials, energy, and transportation were increasing rapidly. In response, the company reassessed the industry’s microeconomics, looking in particular at the latest supply, demand, and cost dynamics. With this new information, managers cut capacity at a plant in an area where the decreased supply would not cause a local shortage. The capacity reduction, which would have had little if any effect on market prices a year earlier, brought about a better balance between supply and demand and kept market prices an estimated 10 percent higher than they would have been without the change.

 

Study your suppliers

The extreme volatility in this downturn demands that companies reexamine not only the microeconomics of their own industries but also the microeconomics of their suppliers’ industries. Recently, a specialty chemicals company invested in modeling the current industry supply, demand, and cost dynamics for one of its primary raw materials. By doing so, the company predicted an industry-wide, 15 percent price increase for that raw material three months before it happened—a feat of some significance because there hadn’t been an annual price increase of more than 5 percent for that material within the past six years. Suspecting an imminent and unusually large price increase, the chemicals company began adding clauses covering raw-material price increases to its customer contracts, a move that would have met extreme resistance if made after the price increases were announced. Instead, the move established an industry precedent for passing cost increases through to customers.

 

Thanbk you to the Authors

Cheri Eyink, Mike Marn and Stephen Moss of the McKinsey company – with localisation additions by Billy Linehan

 

www.mckinsey.com