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Tesco legal services on the way?

May 5th, 2010 Billy No comments

 

 Commoditisation of legal services

 

“It is worthwhile to reflect on what is happening in other industry sectors, and to review opportunities in your own environment,” says management consultant Billy Linehan . “The legal profession in Ireland has been battered by the recession, even the best of firms have suffered declines in turnover and profits. Firms must plan for a changing world with new business models” advises Billy who is a management adviser to partners in several professional services practices.

A combination of technology and a change in the law are bringing a radical change to the legal sector in the UK where supermarkets are entering the market for legal services.

In an article today on the small business portal, www.bytestart.co.uk,  UK based solicitor Giles Dixon describes the changes.

If you would like to buy some shares in one of the large City law firms or get a will written while you are in the local supermarket or WH Smith, this may soon be possible.

For a very long time the only people who can own law firms and offer legal services have been qualified lawyers, but this will be swept away by a new law that was passed in 2007 and comes into effect next year. Under the Legal Services Act, non-lawyers will be able to form ‘Alternative Business Structures’ with solicitors. This will mean that large companies such as banks or supermarkets will be free to offer legal services to their customers.

Some organisations are already reported to be getting ready for this brave new world – among them the Co-operative Group which has set up Co-operative Legal Services to support their members and offers will-writing and conveyancing services. Others, such as Tesco and the AA may follow. As the author of one recent report has said, “this is all about opening up the market by using the economies that come through scale and using marketing in a different kind of way”.

So instead of going to a high street solicitor in future, those wanting a legal service may go to a store which employs lawyers to provide services to its customers. And in time we may see new business models developing – for example a new nationwide “Easydeath Services” offering a menu including will writing and inheritance tax advice, funerals and probate services, all for pre-agreed fixed fees.

At the other end of the scale, some large city firms may decide to float on the stock market, releasing capital for the partners and opening up ownership to pension funds and other investors.

While the big bang day is not scheduled until 2011, another even more influential force – the internet – is already making legal services available in new ways – without even the need for the customers to leave their home or office. As well as low cost contract templates, wills and leases, there are services offering online divorce, online dispute resolution and mediation as well as debt collection. And by no means the most recent online service is that run by the Courts which have facilities for claims to be filed online.

The losers in this new legal world are going to include some smaller law firms, but there are opportunities for them as well. There is a limit to the number of legal services that can be commoditised – legal fees may be needed to tailor a contract template to the customer’s particular requirements, but a combination of a £40 template and some legal advice on that template is going to be a lot cheaper for the customer than going to a lawyer in the first place.

So we can envisage partnerships between solicitors and suppliers of templates developing. Indeed, some providers of templates, such as ContractStore.com, already offer customers a limited legal service, using the lawyers who write the templates sold from their website. Others are developing packages that involve a lawyer finalising a document that is initially generated online by the consumer sitting at home.

Commercial deals and complex disputes will always need support from qualified legal specialists who can advise on strategy and negotiate on their client’s behalf.

As for commoditised services, there is a limit to what they can do and they do not always come with a human face. So, just as those wanting quality food will go to a farmers’ market or organic butcher rather than Tesco, so many people will still prefer to go to a solicitor rather than Tesco Law Ltd.

 

About the Author

Giles Dixon is a solicitor, managing director of ContractStore.com

www.bytestart.co.uk Posted May 5, 2010

 

www.Celtar.ie

Marketing challenges, big ones!

March 10th, 2010 Billy No comments

 

 A lesson in response management, not!

Recent issues of the New York Times and Wall Street Journal have been particularly rich in their commentaries of heretofore magnificent corporations who have fallen on hard times, American writers have particularly enjoyed commenting on Toyota’s problems. We look at Toyota and how it is responding to issues arising from its product recall, is the company doing enough to reassure its customers?

 Prius accelerator pedal

The Toyota Prius, official car of the 2010 Olympic games in Vancouver

 

Toyota

The financial impact on Toyota Motor Corp. from its global recall could total more than $5 billion over the next year, due to increased incentive campaigns, litigation costs and marketing efforts by the embattled car maker, analysts say.

The critical question facing the world’s leading car maker is how long the fallout from the recall will affect sales in North America, its largest market. After a slow start, Toyota is biting back at its critics and has launched an aggressive sales campaign in the U.S., featuring a 0% interest five-year loan offer, competitive lease prices and free maintenance across 80% of its vehicle line-up.

Despite the onslaught of negative media coverage from late January, Toyota’s market share in the U.S. only slipped to 12.7% in February from just above 14% the previous month. “”How much they can rebound and at what cost will be critical going forward.”

Toyota’s toughest mission is to continue to woo new customers to its brand, and to change the minds of those sitting on the fence. According to CNW Market Research, an automotive marketing research company, 7% of consumers previously intending to buy a Toyota will not do so now.

“It’s the people that are sitting on the fence that Toyota is trying to convince,” said Christopher Richter, autos analyst at CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets. “Toyota still has a significant core audience, but a smaller percentage of people are still moved by safety concerns.”

The company also has to continue its pace of sales to avoid an inventory build-up or idling its plants in the U.S. Toyota had been facing excess production capacity…even before the recall problem occurred. If its sales drop, this capacity problem will increase its fixed-costs.

The Japanese car maker has sweetened lease deals on many models by increasing the “residual values”—the projected value of the car at the end of the lease contract—and dropping finance rates. New Camrys are on sale for as little as $179 a month. The Lexus luxury division is promoting discounted lease offers as well, which vary by region and dealer. In China, Toyota is also offering a combination of sales incentives, including zero-percent loans, free insurance and fuel and roadside service.

With more than $29 billion in cash on its balance sheet and very low levels of borrowing, Toyota has a comfortable cushion to absorb the blows, and doesn’t stand out as a credit risk. Toyota and its president, Akio Toyoda, have embarked on a media offensive, after being criticized for its slow response to the burgeoning crisis. Mr. Toyoda last week aimed to rally the troops by speaking in front of thousands of Toyota dealers, suppliers and management.

 

From an American viewpoint James T.Berger comments “The temporary demise of Toyota is particularly interesting in that this company was the “poster child” of such techniques as “lean” production and state-of-the-art sourcing and procurement.  They took many of the key premises of the Japanese business culture and fashioned a global marketing superstar.  However, they might have taken a page out of the American business culture’s crisis management doctrine.

The fall of Toyota is not so much the fault of shoddy sourcing and quality control, it is the lame and inadequate response management has taken to the media barrage. Apparently, the Japanese culture doesn’t figure for the need for accountability to customers and regulatory agencies and the need to address problems honestly and quickly.

All of this will accrue to the benefit of Detroit.  Now that Toyota has a black eye people who want to buy cars will now give Chevrolet, Buick, Cadillac and GMC a chance.   They may discover that GM builds pretty darn good cars at extremely reasonable prices”. A patriot speaks of course!

 

Interestingly I visited a hushed Dublin Toyota dealership last week, customer service was poor and I had to go out of my way to get attention from a sales rep. Few new and second hand cars were evident in the showroom or outside, and the model I was interested in wasn’t available. 

Sources

Wiglaf Journal www.Wiglafjournal.com

Wall Street Journal www.wsj.com

 

Billy Linehan

Celtar business and management consultants

The 5 attributes of enduring family businesses

January 15th, 2010 Billy No comments

 

 

The keys to long-term success are professional management and keeping the family committed to and capable of carrying on as the owner, state the authors of a  a recent article on McKinsey.com.  The family business is an interesting model of a company with it’s own characteristics, inbuilt strengths and inbuilt weaknesses. The McKinsey consultants shares with us the ingredients for success in a family business, ingredients that are relevant to companies of all sizes.

 

 

Family businesses are an often overlooked form of ownership. Yet they are all around us—from neighborhood mom-and-pop stores and the millions of small and midsize companies that underpin many economies to household names such as BMW, Samsung, and Wal-Mart Stores. One-third of all companies in the S&P 500 index and 40 percent of the 250 largest companies in France and Germany are defined as family businesses, meaning that a family owns a significant share and can influence important decisions, particularly the election of the chairman and CEO.

 

As family businesses expand from their entrepreneurial beginnings, they face unique performance and governance challenges. The generations that follow the founder, for example, may insist on running the company even though they are not suited for the job. And as the number of family shareholders increases exponentially generation by generation, with few actually working in the business, the commitment to carry on as owners can’t be taken for granted. Indeed, less than 30 percent of family businesses survive into the third generation of family ownership. Those that do, however, tend to perform well over time compared with their corporate peers, according to recent McKinsey research. Their performance suggests that they have a story of interest not only to family businesses around the world, of various sizes and in various stages of development, but also to companies with other forms of ownership.

To be successful as both the company and the family grow, a family business must meet two intertwined challenges: achieving strong business performance and keeping the family committed to and capable of carrying on as the owner. Five dimensions of activity must work well and in synchrony: harmonious relations within the family and an understanding of how it should be involved with the business, an ownership structure that provides sufficient capital for growth while allowing the family to control key parts of the business, strong governance of the company and a dynamic business portfolio, professional management of the family’s wealth, and charitable foundations to promote family values across generations.

 

Family

Family businesses can go under for many reasons, including family conflicts over money, nepotism leading to poor management, and infighting over the succession of power from one generation to the next. Regulating the family’s roles as shareholders, board members, and managers is essential because it can help avoid these pitfalls.

Large family businesses that survive for many generations make sure to permeate their ethos of ownership with a strong sense of purpose. Over decades, they develop oral and written agreements that address issues such as the composition and election of the company’s board, the key board decisions that require a consensus or a qualified majority, the appointment of the CEO, the conditions in which family members can (and can’t) work in the business, and some of the boundaries for corporate and financial strategy. The continual development and interpretation of these agreements, and the governance decisions guided by them, may involve several kinds of family forums. A family council representing different branches and generations of the family, for instance, may be responsible to a larger family assembly used to build consensus on major issues.

Long-term survivors usually share a meritocratic approach to management. There’s no single rule for all, however—policies depend partly on the size of the family, its values, the education of its members, and the industries in which the business competes. For example, the Australia-based investment business ROI Group, which now spans four generations of the Owens family, encourages family members to work outside the business first and gain relevant experience before seeking senior-management positions at ROI. Any appointment to them must be approved both by the owners’ board, which represents the family, and the advisory council, a group of independent business advisers who provide strategic guidance to the board.

 

As families grow and ownership fragments, family institutions play an important role in making continued ownership meaningful by nurturing family values and giving new generations a sense of pride in the company’s contribution to society. Family offices, some employing less than a handful of professionals, others as many as 40, can bring together family members who want to pursue common interests, such as social work, often through large charity organizations linked to the family. The office may help organize regular gatherings that offer large families a chance to bond, to teach young members how to be knowledgeable and productive shareholders, and to vote formally or informally on important matters. It can also keep the family happy by providing investment, tax, and even concierge services to its members.

 

Ownership

Maintaining family control or influence while raising fresh capital for the business and satisfying the family’s cash needs is an equation that must be addressed, since it’s a major source of potential conflict, particularly in the transition of power from one generation to the next. Enduring family businesses regulate ownership issues—for example, how shares can (and cannot) be traded inside and outside the family—through carefully designed shareholders’ agreements that usually last for 15 to 20 years.

Many of these family businesses are privately held holding companies with reasonably independent subsidiaries that might be publicly owned, though in general the family holding company fully controls the more important ones. By keeping the holding private, the family avoids conflicts of interest with more diversified institutional investors looking for higher short-term returns. Financial policies often aim to keep the family in control. Many family businesses pay relatively low dividends because reinvesting profits is a good way to expand without diluting ownership by issuing new stock or assuming big debts.

 

In fact, some families decide to shut external investors out of the entire business and to fuel growth by reinvesting most of the profits, which requires good profitability and relatively low dividends. Others decide to bring in private equity as a way to inject capital and introduce a more effective corporate governance culture. In 2000, for example, the private-equity investor Kohlberg Kravis Roberts gave Zumtobel, the Austria-based European market leader for professional lighting, a capital infusion (KKR exited in 2006). Such deals can add value, but the downside is that they dilute family control. Others take the IPO route and float a portion of the shares. An IPO can also be a way to provide liquidity at a fair market price for family members wanting to exit as shareholders.

 

To keep control, many family businesses restrict the trading of shares. Family shareholders who want to sell must offer their siblings and then their cousins the right of first refusal. In addition, the holding often buys back shares from exiting family members. Payout policies are usually long term to avoid decapitalizing the business.

 

Because exit is restricted and dividends are comparatively low, some family businesses have resorted to “generational liquidity events” to satisfy the family’s cash needs. These may take the form of sales of publicly traded businesses in the holding or of sales of family shares to employees or to the company itself, with the proceeds going to the family. One chairman said of his company, “Every generation has a major liquidity event, and then we can go on with the business.”

 

Governance and the business portfolio

With clear rules and guidelines as an anchor, family enterprises can get on with their business strategies. Two success factors show up frequently: strong boards and a long-term view coupled with a prudent but dynamic portfolio strategy.

 

Strong boards

Large and durable family businesses tend to have strong governance. Members of these families avoid the principal–agent issue by participating actively in the work of company boards, where they monitor performance diligently and draw on deep industry knowledge gained through a long history. On average, 39 percent of the board members of family businesses are inside directors (including 20 percent who belong to the family), compared with 23 percent in nonfamily companies, according to an analysis of the S&P 500.

 

“The family is a true asset to the management team, since they have been around the industry for decades,” said the CEO of a family business. “Still, they separate ownership and management in a good way.”

Of course, it’s important to complement the family’s knowledge with the fresh strategic perspectives of qualified outsiders. Even when a family holds all of the equity in a company, its board will most likely include a significant proportion of outside directors. One family has a rule that half of the seats on the board should be occupied by outside CEOs who run businesses at least three times larger than the family one.

 

Procedures for all nominations to the board—insiders as well as outsiders—differ from company to company. Some boards select new members and then seek consent by an inner family committee and formal approval by a shareholder assembly. Formal mechanisms differ; what counts most is for the family to understand the importance of a strong board, which should be deeply involved in top-executive matters and manage the business portfolio actively. Many have meetings that stretch over several days to discuss corporate strategy in detail.

 

Family businesses, like their nonfamily peers, face the challenge of attracting and retaining world-class talent to the board and to key executive positions. In this respect, they have a handicap because nonfamily executives might fear that family members make important decisions informally and that a glass ceiling limits the career opportunities of outsiders. Still, family businesses often emphasize caring and loyalty, which some talented people may see as values above and beyond what nonfamily corporations offer.

 

A long-term portfolio view

Successful family companies usually seek steady long-term growth and performance to avoid risking the family’s wealth and control of the business. This approach tends to shield them from the temptation—which has recently brought many corporations to their knees—of pursuing maximum short-term performance at the expense of long-term company health. A longer-term planning horizon and more moderate risk taking serve the interests of debt holders too, so family businesses tend to have not only lower levels of financial leverage but also a lower cost of debt than their corporate peers do.

 

The longer perspective may make family businesses less successful during booms but increases their chances of staying alive in periods of crisis and of achieving healthy returns over time. In fact, despite the unique challenges facing family-influenced businesses, from 1997 to 2009 a broad index of publicly traded ones in the United States and Western Europe achieved total returns to shareholders two to three percentage points higher than those of the MSCI World, the S&P 500, and the MSCI Europe indexes . It is difficult to provide statistical proof that the family influence was the main driver. The results were surprisingly stable across geographies and industries, however, and indicate that family businesses have performed at least in line with the market—a finding corroborated by academic research.

 

This long-term focus implies relatively conservative portfolio strategies based on competencies built over time, coupled with moderate diversification around the core businesses and, in many cases, a natural preference for organic growth. Family-influenced businesses tend to be prudent when they do M&A, making smaller but more value-creating deals than their corporate counterparts do, according to our analysis of M&A deals worth over $500 million in the United States and Western Europe from 2005 to late 2009. The average deal of family businesses was 15 percent smaller, but the total value added through it—measured by market capitalization after the announcement—was 10.5 percentage points, compared with 6.3 points for their nonfamily counterparts.

Nonetheless, too much prudence can be dangerous. Family owners, who usually have a significant part of their wealth associated with the business, face the challenge of preventing an excessive aversion to risk from influencing company decisions. Excessive risk aversion might, for example, unduly limit investments to maintain and build competitive advantage and to diversify the family’s wealth. Diversification is important not only for overall long-term performance but also for control because it helps make it unnecessary for family members to take money out of the business and diversify their assets themselves.

 

That’s why most large, successful family-influenced survivors are multibusiness companies that renew their portfolios over time. While some have a wide array of unconnected businesses, most focus on two to four main sectors. In general, family businesses seek a mix: companies with stable cash flows and others with higher risk and returns. Many complement a group of core enterprises with venture capital and private-equity arms in which they invest 10 to 20 percent of their equity. The idea is to renew the portfolio constantly so that the family holding can preserve a good mix of investments by shifting gradually from mature to growth sectors.

 

Wealth management

Beyond the core holdings, families need strong capabilities for managing their wealth, usually held in liquid assets, semiliquid ones (such as investments in hedge funds or private-equity funds), and stakes in other companies. By diversifying risk and providing a source of cash to the family in conjunction with liquidity events, successful wealth management helps preserve harmony.

 

Success is not a sure thing. Many wealthy families around the world lost a lot of money in the financial crisis—losses that vary by geography but averaged 30 to 60 percent from the second quarter of 2008 to the first quarter of 2009. One European family investor with a portfolio mainly in the money market and in prime income-generating real estate lost less than 5 percent. At the other extreme, a family investor in the same country, with 80 percent of his assets in real-estate developments and hedge funds, both with 50 to 70 percent leverage, lost 30 to 50 percent of the value in these asset classes at the peak of the crisis.

 

These different outcomes highlight the importance of a professional organization with strong, consolidated, and rigorous risk management to oversee the wealth family businesses generate. For large fortunes, the best solution is a wealth-management office serving a single family—either a separate entity or part of a family office providing a range of family services (described earlier in this article). A wealth-management office that serves a group of unconnected families is an option when individual ones don’t have the scale to justify the cost of a single-family office.

 

Our work with family wealth-management offices has helped us identify five key factors that increase the chances of success: a high level of professionalism, with institutionalized processes and procedures; rigorous investment and divestment criteria; strict performance management; a strong risk-management culture, with aggregated risk measurement and monitoring; and thoughtful talent management.

 

Foundations

Charity is an important element in keeping families committed to the business, by providing meaningful jobs for family members who don’t work in it and by promoting family values as the generations come and go. Sharing wealth in an act of social responsibility also generates good will toward the business. Foundations set up by entrepreneurial families represent a huge share of philanthropic giving around the world. In the United States, they include 13 of the 20 largest players, such as the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

 

Money alone does not guarantee a high social impact. In addition to the financial and operational issues facing any charitable activity, families must cope with the critical challenge of nurturing a consensus on the direction of their philanthropic activities from one generation to the next. Some family foundations have tackled the issue by creating a discretionary spending budget allowing family members to finance projects that interest them. Others give them opportunities to serve on the board or staff of the foundation or to participate directly in philanthropic projects through onsite visits and volunteering schemes. This approach is an especially powerful way to engage the next generation early on.

 

Family foundations also face organizational and operational choices about how best to use their funds. Several have concluded that in today’s complex environment, partnerships—for example, with nonprofits or nongovernmental organizations—can promote the family’s social goals. These foundations build on the experience and local presence of other organizations, particularly when implementing projects in unfamiliar geographies.

 

To ensure high performance and continual improvement, family foundations must combine passion with professionalism and a strict assessment of their impact. Despite the difficulties of assessing it, this is vital to make progress and allocate resources effectively. In our experience, family foundations should focus their monitoring and evaluation efforts around learning and improved decision making. They must also approach operations with the mind-set of an investor—minimizing operating costs and making prudent investments in strategy, planning, and evaluation as well as in highly qualified staff.

Almost all companies start out as family businesses, but only those that master the challenges intrinsic to this form of ownership endure and prosper over the generations. The work involved is complex, extensive, and never-ending, but the evidence suggests that it is worth the effort for the family, the business, and society at large.

From McKinsey.com, Christian Caspar, Heinz-Peter Elstrodt, Andres Maldonado

The recession is nearly over … Long live the (weak) Recovery

December 21st, 2009 Billy No comments

Economic recovery?

This article looks at the approaching recovery and suggests how your pricing strategy should be reviewed.

Hopefully we will see signs of recovery in Ireland next year – probably based on increased global demand, resulting in higher export sales from locally based multinationals and indigenous companies. Local consumption of goods and services will trail a little behind, and confidence will recover – let’s close our ears to McWilliams and the other prophets of doom.

Comments are welcome as always,

Best regards

Billy

Tim Smith of the Wiglaf Journal explains by most indicators, the major economies of the world are coming out of the deepest global recession in a lifetime.  Yet, the recovery is far from a return to pre-recessionary trends.  Executives might be hoping for return to strong growth, yet most should expect a tepid climate at best.

 

From a pricing perspective, the weak recovery will place pressures on firms to demonstrate that they are better positioned than their competitors to grow.  This demand for demonstrating growth, rewarded by higher valuations, may drive executives to grab market share through deeper discounts and promotions.  Alternatively, executives may be hoping to grab a higher value market segment by marching up the price to benefits map.  Yet, evidence indicates that executives should apply pressure to the marketing levers differently if they want to win in this period of a weak recovery.

 

Restrain those Discounts

First, executives must continue to restrain their discounts, if not decrease their discounting and price promotions during this period.

Research by Lodish and Mela in the HBR has indicated that companies routinely overweigh the importance of short-term gains and under weigh the importance of their brand’s value proposition.  “They … over-invest in price promotions and under-invest in advertising, new product development, and new forms of distribution.”

One of the challenges of heavy price promotions and discounts is that they train customers to buy on price, not on quality.  If the company spends most of its time communicating to customers that they have the lowest price, it is only natural for customers to become convinced that price is the most important decision criteria in making a selection. From a rational viewpoint however, price alone is not the appropriate buying decision metric.  The more appropriate metric is price to quality.  If an executive wants customers to buy on quality, then they better point out the value of their products and the deficits of low price / low quality offers.  For example: good walking boots last for years while bad walking boots last for months.  On a euro per month of wear, customers are usually better off buying quality boots.

 

Erosion of customer loyalty

A related challenge to industries plagued with heavy price promotions is the erosion of customer loyalty.  Customers trained to purchase on price promotions will also be trained to consider brands to be interchangeable.   From a customer value perspective, the costs of acquiring new customers are far greater than the costs of retaining a customer.  Executives should be wary of actions which reduce customer retention rates within their industry.

 

Finally, discounts, price promotions, and trade deals can all encourage unproductive economic activity.  At one point, it was estimated that one-third of all expenditures on trade deals were wasted through the effect of inefficient warehousing and distribution.  In tight economic times, neither manufacturer nor their retail partners can afford to waste money on storing goods.

Rather than pursuing a greater discount and price promotion budget, now might be the time to switch to value pricing and shift budgets towards branding, specifically online branding.

 

Focus On Low-Cost Targeted Solutions

During good economic times, a common business strategy is to add value to products at a rate faster than costs increase. During this weak recovery, this common strategy is unlikely to prove as profitable.  Customers simply don’t have the excess revenue and income to spend on unnecessary benefits.  Instead, firms should focus on uncovering quality solutions which satisfy a targeted need at a low-price.

 

Delivering target solutions

Excess capacity, slack labour markets, and overall uncertainty regarding future earnings of both consumers and industrial customers all imply that pressure will still be on low-price solutions to daily operations.  Rather than delivering gold-plated solutions, firms should focus on delivering targeted solutions for specific needs of customers to continue competing and surviving in a tougher economic climate.

Product development should continue to be undertaken, but rather than creating new products at the top of the price to benefit map, firms are more likely to profit from segmenting the mass market at the lower ends of the price to benefit map and delivering the specific products that this larger group of customers demand.

 

Recessions come and go.  Weak recoveries can turn into strong recoveries.  To paraphrase Winston Churchill:  Never, never, never, never give up.

Article by Tim Smith, Chief Editor, Wiglaf Journal

References

Leonard M. Lodish and Carl F. Mela, “If Brands Are Built over Years, Why Are They Managed over Quarters?” Harvard Business Review (July-August 2007): Reprint R0707H.

Paul Flatters and Michael Willmott, “Understanding the Post-Recession Consumer,” Harvard Business Review 87, no. 7/8, (July-August 2009):  106-112.

The Best Industries for Starting a Business in 2009

September 21st, 2009 Billy No comments

“Business opportunities in 2009″

 Incite no. 67

From the excellent Inc.com website I present a list of the best industries for starting a business in 2009 (in the US).

This article is aimed at

• those in business who wish to start-up a new business

• and everybody else who is thinking about it or knows somebody who is looking for opportunities

Of course the same opportunities may not currently exist in our backyard home market.

 

To progress your ideas and to give feedback, you are welcome to contact us.

Billy Linehan, Celtar management consultants

 

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

 

1. Confectionery

How sweet it is. Even in a recession, candy has been a luxury that many people can still afford. “Chocolate is a comfort food,” says Dan Johnson, owner of Choco-Logo in Buffalo, New York, which has seen retail sales rise 30 percent since last year. The confectionery industry, as a whole, grew 3.7 percent during the 52-week period ending April 19, according to the National Confectioners Association, which is pretty good considering so many industries are flat or declining. Historically, experts say, candy is one of the most recession-resistant industries and many of today’s classic brands, including Snickers, Tootsie Pops, and 3 Musketeers, all launched during the darkest days of the Great Depression, between 1930 and 1932.

An aside; revenue for Cadbury’s rose 12pc in Britain and Ireland in the first half of 2009, and Cadbury increased its market share despite already being the biggest chocolate brand. That outpaced growth of 2pc in the UK chocolate market as a whole, said Todd Stitzer, chief executive. “The staying at home trend has been identified but the dynamic has really surprised us,” he added. Even with the sterling exchange difference Cadbury’s plants in Ireland are being kept busy.

 

2. Apple Apps

Apple launched its App Store last summer, creating a whole new burgeoning industry in the process. Sales of apps in the first month topped $30 million, leading Steve Jobs to predict that the marketplace would be worth $1 billion some day. To date, companies have produced more than 30,000 applications, ranging from games such as Tap Tap Revenge to apartment-hunting help to tools for finding out the name of a song; in all, Apple has processed more than a billion downloads. To capitalize on the trend, venture-capital firms such as Kleiner Perkins have begun investing in app producers; the venerable Sand Hill Road firm has earmarked $100 million for the market.

As an aside:  from a report in August according to mobile advertising firm AdMob, there are some $200 million worth of applications sold in Apple’s iPhone store every month, or about $2.4 billion a year. Apple allows 70% of revenues from the store to instantly go to the seller of the app, and 30% go to Apple.

 

3. Health care systems

The challenge of streamlining patient care through digitized medical records, e-prescription programs, and online hospital communication, is just now gaining momentum, giving younger companies a chance to make inroads. The federal stimulus bill pledged $19 billion to the development of a health-information tracking system. Based on that level of funding, employment in the field is expected to grow by 18 percent between now and 2016, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. One up-and-comer: Phreesia, a New York City business that makes electronic patient check-in tablets for doctors offices, recently closed $11.5 million in Series C funding, and has secured $25 million in funding to date.

 

4. Beer, wine, spirits

Even as consumers cut back on their consumption of premium alcoholic beverages, sales of booze at lower price points have risen significantly over the last year. As a result, beer, wine, and liquor wholesaler profits have grown 18 percent and sales have grown 5 percent over the past year, according to Sageworks. And the Distilled Spirits Council estimates exports of U.S. distilled spirits grew by 8 percent last year, to $1.1 billion, led by robust demand for American whiskeys.

 

5. Software as a service

Although software spending is expected to increase just 5 percent through 2013, the software-as-a-service niche is forecast to expand by nearly 20 percent annually over the same period, as companies continue to see the benefits of on-demand, flexible applications, according to Gartner, a market-research firm. The industry is expected to produce $8 billion in sales by the end of this year and $16 billion by the end of 2013. The office suites categories will lead the pack this year, increasing 376 percent to $512 million.

 

6. Home care industry

Perhaps the sector likely to benefit the most from the aging baby boomer generation is the home health-care industry. An increasingly popular alternative to nursing homes, home health-care services tend to offer patients lower costs while affording them the dignity of being able to remain in their homes. Industry employment is expected to increase 4.5 percent annually through 2016, the third-highest rate of growth recorded by any industry, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The industry has spawned dozens of promising niches, including companies that specialize in cognitive-fitness computer programs, which help exercise the mind. Total revenue for companies in the cognitive-fitness market topped $265 million in revenue in 2008, up from $100 million in 2005, according to the market research firm SharpBrains. Total sales are expected to hit $2 billion by 2015, the firm estimates.

An aside; anecdotally we can see that this industry has grown fast in the last few years in Ireland. Most growth has been pushed by Irish franchise holders of US based franchises. In the UK the home care industry is worth over £1.5bn.

 

7. Yoga

Amid a recession, are we getting more in tune with our inner spirit? Perhaps. Americans spent $5.7 billion on yoga products, equipment, and clothing in 2008–87 percent more than they did in 2004, according to a study from Yoga Journal. Nearly 14 million Americans say a doctor or therapist has recommended yoga to them. And as the industry continues to expand, there is ample room for new products. One promising opportunity: creating appealing men’s yoga apparel.

 

8. Technical and trade schools

With unemployment numbers up to 8.9 percent, it’s no surprise that technical and trade schools are experiencing a surge in business. Revenue at these for-profit schools rose an average of nearly 8 percent over the 12-month period ending in May, according to Sageworks, a financial analysis company. While thousands of Americans are trying to set themselves apart from other job applicants, others are switching careers as the realization hits that their former industries may have permanently contracted.

 

9. Fast casual food

This year might be the worst ever for the food-service industry as a whole, but the emerging fast-casual segment — which falls between fast food and full-serve restaurants — continues to shine. Sales for the top 100 fast-casual restaurant chains grew by nearly 11 percent in 2008, to $16.7 billion, according to Technomic, a Chicago-based restaurant industry research and consulting firm. Panera Bread led the segment with $2.6 billion in sales in 2008, representing 16 percent growth, while Chipotle Mexican Grill totalled $1.3 billion in revenue, good for a nearly 21 percent growth. For those without the capital to start a restaurant, food industry watchers are seeing a growing trend in food trucks, with those that offer one type of food — tacos, waffles, and even Korean barbecue — all the rage on the streets of major cities.

An aside; many Irish “farmer” markets consist of stalls offering a variety of hot food.

 

10. Green construction

The construction industry may be in a slump, but companies that specialize in green building are bucking the trend. The overall green building market is expected to more than double from $49 billion today to approximately $140 billion by 2013, according to a report from McGraw-Hill. A growing consumer awareness of the advantages of sustainable homes and buildings, along with the increased government focus on environmental initiatives, will only bring more opportunities in this arena. Businesses that position themselves as both eco-friendly and affordable stand to benefit even more.

 

11. Niche consulting

Corporate layoffs have spawned a wave of professionals who are trying to repurpose their skills in the consulting realm. While the competition is fierce in this space, the barriers to entry are low, and the industry as a whole is seeing a shift as clients drop big corporate consultancies in favour of smaller, more specialized firms. Particularly in demand right now: consultants who can help companies to save money, minimize financial losses, and do public relations damage control. In terms of overall job growth, the nation’s fastest-growing industry is niche business consulting; its workforce is expected to increase by 5.9 percent through 2016.

 

 

12. Education software

The education-technology industry has been gaining momentum for years and the $650 million allocated to it in the recently-passed federal stimulus bill should only accelerate the transformation inside U.S. schools and school districts. Companies such as Promethean USA, eInstruction, and Luidia have already capitalized on growing demand, carving out market share in the emergent interactive-whiteboard industry. Then there’s Schoolwires, a company in State College, Pennsylvania, that designs content management systems for school districts. The business plans to increase its workforce 60 percent this year. Don Knezek, CEO of the International Society for Technology in Education, says when it comes to technology in classrooms, the U.S. is still an “emerging market.”

 

13. Temp firms

At a time when many companies are reducing their headcount, now might seem like a funny time to start a staffing firm. But some agencies, particularly those that specialize in filling part-time positions, are doing well. This sector — the largest within employment services — “should continue to generate the most new jobs in this industry,” according to a government estimate. Those agencies that position themselves to take advantage of changes in the workforce by specializing in locating positions that offer flexible schedules, for example, are well-positioned to succeed.

 

14. Government services

In the past year, government services has been gaining steam as a top category among the fastest-growing private companies on the Inc. 500 | 5000 list. From 2007 to 2008, the total revenue for companies in this category nearly doubled, from $678 million to $1.2 billion, and the median four-year growth rate for companies on the 2008 list came in at nearly 1,300 percent. President Obama’s $787 billion Economic Recovery Act certainly won’t hinder that growth. According to the administration’s Recovery.gov website, by 2012, two-thirds of the approximately $23 billion allocated to individual states will reflect investments in local infrastructure, creating opportunities for start-ups to bid on projects that involve transportation, broadband technologies, and clean water, among others.

An aside; not in Ireland! No economic stimulus initiatives have been presented, yet.

 

15. Accounting services, credit control and cash collection It may not be considered a “sexy” industry, but small and independent firms that help companies manage cash flow by keeping on top of accounts receivables are increasingly in demand — especially during a time when customers will do anything they can to avoid paying bills. Accounting work is a function that companies routinely outsource, especially when they are seeking to cut costs during a recession, which opens up opportunities for start-ups. Profit margins can be especially high for solo entrepreneurs or those who run their businesses from home. According to recent data from Sageworks, private accounting firms have seen a 20.9 percent growth in profit over the last 12 months.

 

16. Repair services

Call it a sign of the times, but companies that provide repair services, ranging from the home-improvement sector to the auto industry, are seeing an uptick in revenue as more people opt to fix their existing possessions, rather than to buy new. Business is up 2.4 percent at auto repair shops and 4.6 for electricians and plumbers in the past year, according to statistics compiled by Sageworks. Other lucrative sectors include shoe repair shops, many of which have seen business more than double since the start of the recession, as well as personal electronics repair shops. The repair business is also hospitable for fledgling ventures: businesses can often be run from home and sustained on the founder’s knowhow and sweat equity.

 

17. Self-improvement

If ever there were a time in which people are searching for self-improvement, it’s now. Americans spend more than $11 billion each year on self-improvement products and services, including motivational-speaker seminars, networking and wealth-building instructional DVDs, and spiritual guidance books, according to Marketdata Enterprises, a Tampa-based research firm. Over the next three years, while many industries contract, self-help is expected to grow 6.2 percent annually.

An aside; much of the growing “life plus business” coaching industry starts from individuals engaging in self-analysis and counselling, believing that if “they have the potential  to be, do or have whatever they want in life”, they then can show others “how to enjoy reaching their full potential”.

 

18. Green energy

The energy industry is full of start-up opportunities, so it’s no surprise that it was the fastest-growing category among privately-held companies on the 2008 Inc. 500 | 5000 list — with a median four-year growth rate of 287.5 percent among 79 companies on the list. These companies run the gamut from dealing in solar energy to alternative fuels. Due to growing consumer demand to save on energy costs, companies that install efficient lighting systems or cut down on heating costs by installing solar panels are well positioned for future growth. In addition, economic stimulus funds for energy projects nationwide amount to $43 billion, creating opportunities for entrepreneurs with a scientific background to break into areas such as biofuel and wind power. – An aside; watch out for companies like Filtrex (Filtrex.ie) specialists in sustainable waste management systems, for example setting up straw and biomass briquette production plants and biomass boiler systems.

 Sourced mostly from Inc.com, an article by Jason Del Rey and Tamara Schweitzer

Celtar, advice for business